Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz 2024 Olympics Tennis Gold Medal Match Prediction, Odds, Picks

Novak Djokovic will face Carlos Alcaraz in the men’s singles gold medal match at the 2024 Olympic Games. Our 2024 Olympic Games gold medal match odds series includes our Djokovic Alcaraz prediction and pick. Find out how to watch Djokovic Alcaraz.

Novak Djokovic is finally doing something he has never done before: playing for Olympic gold in the men’s singles. He didn’t make it to the 2008 Olympic final because Rafael Nadal stopped him in the semifinals. Andy Murray won the 2012 Olympic final, beating Djokovic in the semifinals. In Rio 2016, Djokovic watched Murray repeat his Olympic title with a final victory over Argentine Juan Martin del Potro. A few years ago in Tokyo, Alexander Zverev beat Russian Karen Khachanov in the Olympic final. Djokovic has done almost everything in tennis but this. He cried tears of joy after beating Lorenzo Musetti in the semifinals. That’s all it means to him. He’s 37. He can still play well, but at this point in his career, yesterday is more important to him than tomorrow. If Djokovic wants anything in 2024, it’s this. Olympic gold is one victory away from us.

Problem: The guy on the other side of the net is really good and will be a problem for Djokovic,

Carlos Alcaraz crushed Djokovic in the 2024 Wimbledon final a few weeks ago. He got nervous late in the third set but otherwise dominated in a straight-set win over Djokovic. It was a much more direct match than the 2023 Olympic final, which went five sets. Alcaraz showed everyone that when he’s on form and at the top of his game, he’s a very difficult puzzle to solve. Alcaraz has struggled for much of the summer, but when he’s not playing his best, he’s figured out how to win ugly, with no opponent able to exploit his inconsistencies. This match will essentially come down to whether Alcaraz can play at his best and whether Djokovic can force Alcaraz into mistakes if the Spaniard gets even a little restless.

Here are the odds for the gold medal tennis match at the 2024 Olympic Games between Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz. courtesy of FanDuel.

2024 Olympic Tennis Gold Medal Match Odds: Novak Djokovic-Carlos Alcaraz Odds

Spread of the game

Djokovic +3.5 games: -118
Alcaraz -3.5 games: -112

Money Line

Djokovic: +190
Alcaraz: -235

Win the first set

Djokovic: +152
Alcaraz: -186

Total number of games in the match

Above 22.5: -106
Below 22.5: -128

Games won in the match

Djokovic over 11.5: -120
Djokovic under 11.5: -110

Alcaraz over 12.5: -118
Alcaraz under 12.5: -112

How to watch Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Television: NBC / CNBC / USA Network / E!

Streaming: Peacock and NBCOlympics.com

Time: Approximately 8:15 a.m. Eastern / 5:15 a.m. Pacific – May start 45 minutes earlier or later depending on length of previous match

*Watch Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz LIVE on fuboTV (click for a free trial)*

Why Novak Djokovic Could Cover the Spread

Djokovic wants this win badly. He may not win it outright, but a set going to a tiebreak seems like a decent bet, in which case Djokovic has a good chance of covering. If Djokovic loses 7-6, 6-4, he will cover the game spread. The only way Djokovic will be crushed is if Alcaraz plays a flawless match. However, given the excitement of this match, there is a good chance that Alcaraz will be nervous enough to keep Djokovic close to the scoreboard.

Why Carlos Alcaraz Could Cover the Spread

Alcaraz destroyed Djokovic in the Wimbledon final. On Friday, he defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime in a crushing Olympic semifinal. If the best version of Alcaraz emerges, Djokovic will not be able to keep up with him. The score will be 6-4, 6-3, with Alcaraz covering.

Final Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Match Prediction and Pick

Is Alcaraz likely to win? Yes… but is Djokovic likely to maintain his advantage? Also yes. Djokovic will fight really, really hard for this. He may not make it and settle for silver, but he will pressure Alcaraz enough to cover the spread. One set will go to a tie-break.

Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz Final Prediction and Match Pick: Djokovic +3.5 games