It’s time to continue our college football odds series with a Nevada-Hawaii prediction and pick. Find out how to watch Nevada-Hawaii.

The Week 9 slate concludes with this matchup on the Isles. Nevada and Hawaii both had very difficult seasons. Start with Nevada. The Wolf Pack blew a double-digit lead to SMU in Week Zero in August. They lost by a field goal to Georgia Southern. They lost four points to San Jose State and three to Fresno State last week. Consistently competitive but not good enough to finish games, the Wolf Pack perfectly fits the description of a team that barely plays well enough to lose. Six of Nevada’s eight games have been decided by five points or less. Nevada has only lost one game by more than five points. So close and yet so far – that sums up the first two months of this season in Nevada.

The season in Hawaii hasn’t been any better. The Rainbow Warriors lost to UCLA by a field goal on August 31. They lost by a field goal to San Diego State. They gave Boise State and Heisman Trophy contender Ashton Jeanty a good, vigorous battle for three quarters earlier this month, but they faded in the fourth quarter and ran out of gas to lose 28-7 . Hawaii’s games haven’t been as close as Nevada’s, but the overall reality is that Hawaii played competitive football, but at one point struggled enough to turn a winning game into a losing game . Both teams need to find a way to rise, not fall, when the fourth quarter comes around in this game.

Here are the Nevada-Hawaii college football odds, courtesy of FanDuel.

College football odds: Nevada-Hawaii odds

Nevada: -1.5 (-105)

Financial line: -113

Hawaii: +1.5 (-115)

Financial line: -106

Over: 45.5 (-106)

Minus: 45.5 (-114)

How to watch Nevada vs. Hawaii

Time: 11:59 p.m. ET/8:59 p.m. PT

Television: local cable

Stream: fuboTV (free trial)

Why Nevada Could Cover the Spread/Win

Nevada’s familiarity with close games — six of eight being decided by one score this season — should allow the Wolf Pack to handle stressful situations a little better than Hawaii. Since the point spread is only 1.5, this game is essentially a choice. The only way Nevada can win the game but not cover is to win by exactly one point. In what is therefore a game in which a total victory will almost certainly result in a winning bet, moving Nevada up straight makes perfect sense.

Let’s also realize that Nevada has played some good Mountain West teams. Fresno State isn’t a great team, but the Bulldogs are 4-3. Nevada lost to this team 4-3 by just three points. San Jose State is 5-2. Nevada lost to SJSU by just four points. Nevada’s schedule is actually pretty good, so the fact that the Wolf Pack has a losing record shouldn’t be seen as a supreme indictment of how bad it is. They are better than their surface area record suggests.

Why Hawaii could cover the spread/win

Hawaii knocked on the door at home, taking UCLA until the final minute and making Boise State sweat for three quarters of what was a physical and contentious game before Boise State’s depth wore down the Rainbow Warriors in the fourth quarter. Playing at home, Hawaii will finally win a close game against a team of comparable talent.

Nevada-Hawaii final prediction and selection

We can’t say it enough: don’t bet on matches between two bad teams. Sure, the moneyline prize is better, but the draw games aren’t worth the hassle. Stay away.

Nevada-Hawaii Final Prediction and Selection: Nevada -1.5